Tuesday, March 06, 2007

Lebanese Public Opinion Survey. The Beirut Center has a new public opinion survey in Lebanon (thanks `Abduh for sending me the report). Very interesting. No major changes: the Sunnis are overwhelmingly Hariri, the Shi`ites overwhelmingly Hizbullah, Druzes overwhelmingly Jumblat, and Christians split between Ja`ja` (Ga`ga` in Egyptian accent) and `Awn, and I am suffocating. Among the findings: 50.50 % of all Lebanese blame the US for obstructing a solution for Lebanon (37.50% of Sunnis; 94.90% of Shi`ites; 4.80% of Druzes; 37.20% of Christians. Now I must disagree with one element of the methodology of the survey: the poll split the question of blaming Syria and Iran into two questions: one question asked who blamed Syria, and another asked about who blamed Syria and Iran, thereby seeming to soften or diminish the weight of the answers. So I will combine the two questions. So 34.9% of all Lebanese blamed Syria and Iran for obstructing a solution for Lebanon (59.2% of Sunnis; 1.8% of Shi`ites; 78.5% of Druzes; and 33.2% of Christians). 70.2% of all Lebanese disagreed with Walid Jumblat's "latest speech" (49.5 of Sunnis; 99.1 of Shi`ites; 11.9 of Druzes; and 73.2 of Christians). 29.3% of Lebanese disagreed with Sa`d Hariri's latest speech (9.5% of Sunnis; 47.9 of Shi`ites; 2.4% of Druzes; and 34.1% of Christians). And 39.9% of all Lebanese disagreed with the latest speech of Hasan Nasrallah (57.2% of Sunnis; 1.4% of Shi`ites; 83.3% of Druzes; and 45.7% of Christians.