What he is trying to say is this: yes, I did predict that Asad was about to fall just last month but things changed

From Basim: "Only months earlier, analysts say, with territorial losses mounting, Assad’s hold on his country seemed to be slipping toward creation of a rump state encompassing the capital ...  His position was faltering despite the rebels’ built-in weaknesses resulting from a lack of unity, a chronic shortage of heavy weaponry, and tenuous international support. Russia’s intervention appears now to have been a game-changer."