Saturday, September 15, 2012

Revolutionary change in the Arab world

A comrade who does not want to be identified sent me this:

"Is it not ironic that after al what happened the last decade that the flags of AQ have been hoisted on the embassies of the US across the Arab world?

I have no doubt in my mind that the Arab world has been witnessing, in slow motion over I would say since the mid seventies, profound revolutionary stirrings with movements ranging from Al-Qaeda to the Arab uprisings, from the oil wars to the terror wars, representing different threads of the same canvass. In that sense, what is happening in the Arab world, with the dissolution of the nation state structures under the dual impacts of failed development and neocolonial interventions, has a profound impact on emerging political forms in the long dure'. Where this would lead I do not know. It may end with the Islamic right wing in either its bourgeois (Ikhwan) or lumpen proletariat (Salafis) in full dominance, the former a compradore elite and the latter a destructive force. Yet I somehow suspect this is a transitional phenomenon (as in transitional over a generation or so). In the meanwhile, it is so unpredictable.

The interesting thing is that despite all the violence, the Americans and their instrument, the Israelis, have failed to maintain their control absent massive, escalating violence. This cost is not tenable in the long term."