Wednesday, February 13, 2008

`Imad Mughniyyah. Nobody really knows much about Mughniyyah: I have always believed that his political--and even military--role in Hizbullah has been largely exaggerated. What is known is that he joined Fath movement early on in his life, before joining Amal, and before joining Hizbullah. He belongs to the scary Hizbullah of the 1980s, and no matter what role he still retains, it is not, I think, as big as is claimed in Western media. People don't talk about him in Lebanon: so much secrecy and mystery have shrouded his image since Western media started to mention him back in the mid-1980s. People forget that he is not the young man that he was: he was 46 when he died, I think. It is easy to speculate on the culprits: but people will also be wondering about some of the ramifications. It may increase the tensions between the warring factions in Lebanon: Walid Jumblat is the only one who has been mentioning Mughniyyah's name in the last two years. This is will add to the animosities between Jumblat's constituency and that of Hizbullah (did people see Jumblat on Future News channel? I only saw clips. He was more crazy and more nervous and more agitated and more broken than I have ever seen him). But one may wonder: what role did the Syrian government play, if any, to facilitate the assassination? Arab regimes have a history of surrendering allies to Western government (Carlos in Sudan, Ocalan in Syria, etc) in order to extract a price. I am sure that I will read in the US and Israeli media that Mughniyyah was the only one fighting Israel in 2006, and that he single-handedly achieved the humiliation of the Israeli occupation forces. Get ready for such analysis.