This is an article by Ahmad Hashim, professor of strategic studies at the Naval War College in Newport, Rhode Island. He has a PhD in Political Science from MIT, and is fluent in Arabic. I was told by confidential sources that neo-conservatives in the Pentagon excluded his participation in the "Coalition Provisional Authority." Knowledgeable people were indeed excluded. A rule of ignorance was required. His conclusion:"The insurgency can evolve, and indeed, from the vantage point of summer 2004 appears to be evolving, into patterns of complex warfare and violence. Should this evolution continue, the prospects for American success in bringing about Iraqi security, political stability, and reconstruction will be nonexistent."