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Wednesday, August 02, 2006
Lebanese Public Opinion: In numbers, and not based on New Yorker's correspondent's observations. Instead of relying on unnamed "Lebanese sources" of Yossi Melman or on whiskey-drinking Lebanese that Jon Lee Anderson meets, here is a real public opinion survey. It is my least favorite polling firm in Lebanon: it is the one that conducts surveys for the sectarian Christian, right-wing Lebanese TV station, LBC-TV. But the results are quite interesting, and displeasing for LBC-TV and US/Israel. And Ipsos which did the surveys obviously tried hard to ask questions in a way as to determine the results. For example, the first question was about whether this war's timing was "appropriate." Now when you phrase it like that, you mix the attitude to Hizbullah with the attitude to Israel. So 62% said that the timing of the war was not appropriate. And when the Lebanese were asked whether they support the US demand for disarming Hizbullah, 64% of Lebanese said no. (63% of Sunnis, interestingly). As for whether you blame Hizbullah or Israel for the war, 84% of Lebanese blamed Israel for the war. (84% of Sunnis, for those who think that Lebanese Sunnis are now supporters of Israel). And 67% of Lebanese supported the capture of the two Israeli soldiers. With results like this, I suggest the US press covers the interrogation of Hasan Dib Nasrallah, the brick layer.